Kunopera kwa2022, huwandu hwekutakura zvinhu mumusika wekutakura huchakwira zvakare uye huwandu hwekutakura huchamira kudonha.Zvisinei, maitiro emusika gore rinouya achiri akazara nekusava nechokwadi.Mareti anotarisirwa kudzikira "kusvika pakusiyana kwemutengo".Pave nekutya kukuru kubva China yakasimudza zvirambidzo pakubuda muna Zvita.Basa kumakambani ekutengesa fekitori rakadonha zvakanyanya nechetatu pakupera kwaZvita.Zvinozotora inenge 3-6 mwedzi kuti mudzimba uye kunze kudiwa kupora kusvika pazvikamu zviviri muzvitatu zve pre-denda.
Kubva muhafu yechipiri ya2022, mwero wekutakura zvinhu wanga uchidzikira nguva dzese.Inflation uye hondo yeRussia-Ukraine yakadzivisa simba rekutenga reEurope neUnited States, pamwe chete nekunonoka kwekutsvaga kwekudya, uye huwandu hwekutakura hwakadzikira zvakanyanya.Kutumirwa kubva kuAsia kuenda kuUS kwakadzika makumi maviri nerimwe muzana muna Mbudzi kubva gore rapfuura kuenda ku1.324,600 TEUs, kubva pagumi nemasere muzana muna Gumiguru, sekureva kwaDescartes Datamyne, kambani yekuUS yekutsvagisa.
Kubva munaSeptember, kuderera kwemavhoriyamu ekutakura zvinhu kwakawedzera.Kutakurwa kweContainer kubva kuAsia kuenda kuUS kwakadonha kwemwedzi wechina wakatwasuka muna Mbudzi kubva pagore rapfuura, zvichisimbisa kudonda kweUS kudiwa.China, iyo yaive nehuwandu hwepamusoro nekurodha pasi, yakaona kudonha kwemakumi matatu muzana, mwedzi wechitatu wakateedzana weanopfuura gumi muzana kuderera. kunze kwenyika.
Zvakadaro, pave nekumhanya mhanya mumusika wezvinotakura zvinhu.Huwandu hwekutakura hweEvergreen Shipping uye Yangming Shipping muUnited States hwadzokera kuzere nyika.Pamusoro pemhedzisiro yekutakura pamberi peMutambo weChirimo, kuenderera mberi kusunungurwa kwe mainland China ndiyo kiyi.
Musika wepasi rose uri kutanga kugamuchira mwaka mudiki wepamusoro wekutakura, asi gore rinouya richange richiri gore rakaoma.Kunyange zvazvo zviratidzo zvekuguma kwekuderera kwemitengo yekutakura zvakaonekwa, zvakaoma kufanotaura kuti kureba kunenge kuri kure.Gore rinouya richakanganisa shanduko dzakanyanya kukosha mumitengo yekutumira, iyo IMO miviri mitsva yekabhoni emissions mirau ichaita, iyo yepasirese yakatarisa pafungu rekuputsika kwechikepe.
Vatakuri vekutakura zvinhu zvakakura vakatanga kutora nzira dzakasiyana-siyana dzekutarisana nekuderera kwehuwandu hwekutakura.Kutanga, vatanga kugadzirisa maitiro ekushanda kweFar East-Europe nzira.Dzimwe ndege dzakasarudza kudarika Suez Canal dzodzokera kuCape of Good Hope dzozoenda kuEurope.Kuchinja kwakadaro kwaizowedzera mazuva gumi kunguva yerwendo pakati peAsia neEurope, kuchengetedza mutero weSuez uye kuita kuti kufamba zvishoma nezvishoma kuenderane nekubuda kwekabhoni.Chinonyanya kukosha, nhamba yezvikepe inodiwa yaizowedzera, zvisina kunanga kuderedza huwandu hutsva.
1. Zvinodiwa zvicharamba zvakaderera muna 2023: mitengo yegungwa icharamba yakaderera uye isingachinji.
"Mutengo wematambudziko ehupenyu uri kudya mumagetsi ekushandisa kwevatengi, zvichiita kuti pasanyanya kudiwa kwezvinhu zvinotengeswa kunze kwenyika. Hapana chiratidzo chekugadzirisa dambudziko pasi rose, uye tinotarisira kuti mahombekombe egungwa achaderera."Patrik Berglund akafanotaura, "Izvi zvakati, kana mamiriro ehupfumi akawedzera kuipa, anogona kuwedzera."
Zvinonzi IMWE kambani yekutakura yakati zvakaoma kufanotaura kufambiswa kwemusika wekutengesa wakawanda gore rinouya.Musika wemabhokisi wakamira mumwedzi mishoma yapfuura mushure mekudonha kwakanyanya kwemitengo yekutakura uye kudiwa."Kufanotaura nezvemamiriro ebhizinesi rese kwave kuoma zvakanyanya mukutarisana nekuwedzera kusava nechokwadi," kambani yakati.
Akatsanangura akati wandei enjodzi: "Semuyenzaniso, kuenderera mberi kweRussia-Ukraine kunetsana, kukanganisa kwemitemo yekuvharirwa, uye nhaurirano dzevashandi pazviteshi zveSpain neAmerica."Kupfuura izvozvo, kune nzvimbo nhatu dzinonyanya kunetseka.
Kudonhedza kwakapinza kwemitengo yenzvimbo: SCFI nzvimbo mitengo yakakwira pakutanga kwaNdira gore rino, uye mushure mekuderera kwakanyanya, kudonha kwese kuri 78% kubva kutanga kwaNdira.Iyo Shanghai-Northern Europe nzira yakadzikira makumi masere nematanhatu muzana, uye Shanghai-Spanish-American Trans-Pacific nzira yakadzikira makumi masere nemaviri muzana pamadhora zana nemakumi mana nemakumi maviri netatu paFEU, 19 muzana yakaderera pane avhareji ya2010-2019.
Zvinhu zvinogona kuipa kune ONE nevamwe vatakuri.MUNHU anotarisira kuti mari dzekushandisa dzirambe dzichikwira uye mitengo yekutakura zvinhu irambe ichidzika sezvo inflation ichikwira kuita manhamba maviri.
Pamberi pemihoro, iyo inotarisirwa kudzikira kubva kuQ3 kuenda kuQ4 ichaenderera mberi nechiyero chimwe chete kusvika 2023?"Inflationary pressures inotarisirwa," Mr ONE vakapindura.Kambani iyi yakacheka fungidziro yainowana muhafu yechipiri yegore rayo remari uye yakati purofiti inoshanda inodarika hafu kana zvichienzaniswa nehafu yekutanga neyechipiri yegore rapfuura.
2. mitengo yekontrakiti yenguva refu iri pasi pekumanikidzwa: mitengo yekutumira icharamba ichichinja pane yakaderera.
Pamusoro pezvo, nekudzikira kwemitengo, makambani ekutakura zvinhu anoti zvibvumirano zvekare zvenguva refu zviri kudzokororwa kune mitengo yakaderera.Paakabvunzwa kana vatengi vayo vakakumbira kuderedzwa kwemitengo yekondirakiti, MUMWE akati: "Apo kontrakiti yazvino yava kuda kupera, MUMWE achatanga kukurukura nezvekuvandudzwa nevatengi."
Muongorori weKepler Cheuvreux Anders R.Karlsen akati: "Maonero egore rinouya akati mboti, mitengo yekondirakiti ichatangawo kutaurirana padanho rakaderera uye mihoro yevatakuri ichadzikama."Alphaliner yakamboverengera kuti mari yemakambani ekufambisa yaitarisirwa kudzikira pakati pe30% ne70%, zvichibva pane yekutanga data yekufanotaura yakashumwa nemakambani ekutumira.
Kudonha kwekuda kwevatengi kunotoreva kuti vatakuri vava "kukwikwidza vhoriyamu," maererano neXeneta CEO.Jørgen Lian, muongorori mukuru kuDNB Markets, anofanotaura kuti iyo yepasi mumusika wemidziyo ichaedzwa muna 2023.
Sezvo James Hookham, purezidhendi weGlobal shippers' Council, achinongedza muongororo yake yekota yemusika wekutakura midziyo, yakaburitswa svondo rino: "Mumwe wemibvunzo mikuru iri kupinda muna 2023 ndewekuti mavhoriyamu avo ari kudzikira sei vafambisi vachazvipira kutauriranazve zvibvumirano. uye kuti yakawanda sei vhoriyamu ichaiswa parutivi pamusika wenzvimbo. Musika wenzvimbo unotarisirwa kudonha pasi pe-pre-denda mumavhiki anouya. "
Nguva yekutumira: Feb-14-2023